Are we the "dumb money?"
Ira was writing about how he doesn't like to be the "dumb money" in his post on mutual fund analysis. This of course led me to the same morose place I always wind up when I start thinking about my investment approach. What in the world makes me think I can outperform the markets. Most professionals don't do it, so why wouldn't I be in index funds?
The short answer is that I am, but I'm also keenly aware of risks that are unique to me in my full financial position. I may not be able to outperform the market, but I may be better able to hedge myself. All of this feels to some degree like a rationalization though.
My broker knows better than to try to sell me junk, but I still talk to my family's brokers. They are always coming up with these garbage products who's intent is to convince the buyer to pay a high commission. That's their one and only goal. I have nearly zero experiences with professionals where I don't find myself playing defense to keep them from trying to sell me junk. If the whole industry is aligned against me, what makes me think I'm not the dumb money?
I think in the current era, we've become a little too accustomed to buying stocks. In fact I think that most people think that "investing" and "buying stocks" are one and the same. No one thinks about starting a business or other things they could do with their money. They stick it into the stock market because "that's what you do." Even worse our tax code is rigged to give them every incentive to do so. All of this makes me nervous that I'm part of a ponzi scheme. What do you think -- Are we the dumb money?
